We had another busy weekend for the margin ratings leaderboard, with the entire top eight (bar Richmond) shifting up or down. This is a close season, but is anyone going to be able to stop the Tigers going back to back?
There’s no behind leaderboards section this week, we got distracted with other projects and didn’t leave ourselves enough time. Sorry. 🙁
Margin Tipping
We’d written out most of the start before we realised that we goofed last week. Our system actually tipped Sydney as the winner against Collingwood, error on our part marked it down as a prediction for the Magpies to win.1
It ended up getting 8 at a MAE of 22.89. That makes last week one of the best weeks of 2018 for the system, behind only rounds 6 and 16. So with three rounds to go, it’s gotten 119 right for the season (70%), which would have it =6th on Squiggle. Personally, we’re sitting on 114, which isn’t bad.
There’s one difference between the two of us for this week, the Melbourne v Sydney game on Sunday. The system is going with a Melbourne win, I’m on the Swans.
With our finals predictions: we no longer predict Port Adelaide to make the eight; they’ve swapped with Geelong. Also, Collingwood’s gone from being predicted to make a preliminary final to losing in an elimination final.
Unique Scores
GWS scored 151 on the weekend, one of the five highest scores in their history. You’d think that for a team with such little time in the league, this would be a new score – but it’s not, they achieved this before in 2016.
This weekend wasn’t all for naught though! West Coast’s score of 142 in their heavy Derby win was a club first. The Eagles have now made 138 unique scores (13th in the league), and 142 has now been achieved by 15 clubs (the exceptions are the three newest sides).
1Serves us right for trusting ourselves with a Google Sheets document.
The Flag 