WBBL|06 Predictions – Round 1

(The high-profile portion of) cricket is wasting no time with cracking into action – within twelve hours of the AFLM Grand Final finishing, the sixth season of the Women’s Big Bash League is teeing off in Sydney – where the whole tournament will be held, thanks to a certain global pandemic. There’s a lot to watch out for this season, and many questions that we’re soon to be held – and our Elo ratings (and a few other statistical projects) will be included the whole way.

AFLW Predictions – Round 1, 2020

As part of the AFL’s quest for cultural dominance, and a general belief that this is just a curtainraiser for the ‘real’ footy, the AFLW season is teeing off tonight, far too early in February. The fans are excited, the media has been giving it enough coverage to make sure people are aware it’s happening, and the finest female footballers in the country are strapping their boots on, ready to give it a shake. As are we with our predictions – and we had a lot to do over the off season.

Every AFLM Top of the Table Clash Ever

(link for public access)

R	Year	1st	G	B	T	2nd	G	B	T	Winner		Margin
3	1897	Fitzroy	5	9	39	Melbourne	7	8	50	Melbourne	2nd	11
7	1897	Melbourne	3	9	27	Essendon	8	15	63	Essendon	2nd	36
9	1897	Essendon	6	10	46	Collingwood	5	7	37	Essendon	1st	9
5	1898	Essendon	6	12	48	Melbourne	3	5	23	Essendon	1st	25
8	1898	Essendon	8	11	59	Fitzroy	2	4	16	Essendon	1st	43
14	1898	Essendon	2	13	25	Collingwood	7	14	56	Collingwood	2nd	31
5	1899	Melbourne	4	11	35	Fitzroy	3	6	24	Melbourne	1st	11
12	1899	Fitzroy	6	5	41	Melbourne	4	9	33	Fitzroy	1st	8
11	1900	Fitzroy	5	9	39	Sydney	4	9	33	Fitzroy	1st	6
13	1900	Fitzroy	1	6	12	Geelong	8	9	57	Geelong	2nd	45
5	1901	Geelong	3	6	24	Collingwood	4	8	32	Collingwood	2nd	8
6	1901	Collingwood	7	13	55	Fitzroy	6	9	45	Collingwood	1st	10
12	1901	Geelong	12	11	83	Collingwood	6	5	41	Geelong	1st	42
17	1901	Geelong	5	3	33	Essendon	9	12	66	Essendon	2nd	33
4	1902	Collingwood	3	4	22	Fitzroy	7	13	55	Fitzroy	2nd	33
8	1902	Fitzroy	5	12	42	Essendon	7	6	48	Essendon	2nd	6
10	1902	Fitzroy	6	9	45	Collingwood	9	14	68	Collingwood	2nd	23
13	1902	Collingwood	7	5	47	Essendon	5	6	36	Collingwood	1st	11
6	1903	Fitzroy	4	5	29	Carlton	9	8	62	Carlton	2nd	33
11	1903	Fitzroy	5	6	36	Collingwood	8	8	56	Collingwood	2nd	20
7	1904	Fitzroy	6	9	45	Sydney	5	14	44	Fitzroy	1st	1
14	1904	Fitzroy	8	10	58	Sydney	5	16	46	Fitzroy	1st	12
2	1905	Sydney	11	7	73	Melbourne	10	7	67	Sydney	1st	6
8	1905	Fitzroy	3	1	19	Collingwood	5	11	41	Collingwood	2nd	22
7	1906	Carlton	4	15	39	Essendon	10	14	74	Essendon	2nd	35
14	1906	Essendon	4	12	36	Carlton	10	12	72	Carlton	2nd	36
3	1907	Essendon	5	7	37	St Kilda	9	13	67	St Kilda	2nd	30
8	1907	St Kilda	3	15	33	Carlton	8	14	62	Carlton	2nd	29
3	1908	Essendon	4	8	32	Carlton	5	13	43	Carlton	2nd	11
12	1908	Carlton	4	5	29	Essendon	6	6	42	Essendon	2nd	13
4	1909	Sydney	11	10	76	Fitzroy	5	7	37	Sydney	1st	39
7	1909	Sydney	9	9	63	Essendon	9	8	62	Sydney	1st	1
11	1909	Sydney	6	8	44	Carlton	9	14	68	Carlton	2nd	24
14	1909	Sydney	6	7	43	Collingwood	8	6	54	Collingwood	2nd	11
7	1910	Carlton	6	15	51	Essendon	7	10	52	Essendon	2nd	1
16	1910	Carlton	7	10	52	Essendon	8	12	60	Essendon	2nd	8
9	1911	Essendon	5	11	41	Sydney	6	8	44	Sydney	2nd	3
18	1911	Essendon	9	9	63	Sydney	8	10	58	Essendon	1st	5
3	1912	Essendon	8	11	59	Carlton	6	14	50	Essendon	1st	9
4	1912	Essendon	9	8	62	Sydney	8	8	56	Essendon	1st	6
13	1912	Sydney	9	11	65	Essendon	7	10	52	Sydney	1st	13
17	1912	Sydney	6	10	46	Carlton	7	10	52	Carlton	2nd	6
4	1913	Collingwood	6	8	44	Carlton	5	8	38	Collingwood	1st	6
8	1913	Collingwood	5	7	37	Fitzroy	6	11	47	Fitzroy	2nd	10
17	1913	Fitzroy	9	10	64	Collingwood	4	13	37	Fitzroy	1st	27
5	1914	Sydney	5	13	43	Essendon	5	11	41	Sydney	1st	2
12	1914	Fitzroy	7	12	54	Sydney	10	4	64	Sydney	2nd	10
8	1915	Collingwood	11	8	74	Fitzroy	6	14	50	Collingwood	1st	24
13	1915	Collingwood	12	21	93	Melbourne	8	6	54	Collingwood	1st	39
4	1916	Fitzroy	7	9	51	Carlton	13	6	84	Carlton	2nd	33
5	1916	Carlton	10	15	75	Collingwood	11	10	76	Collingwood	2nd	1
8	1916	Carlton	9	11	65	Collingwood	7	11	53	Carlton	1st	12
11	1916	Carlton	9	18	72	Collingwood	10	10	70	Carlton	1st	2
3	1917	Sydney	5	16	46	Carlton	3	13	31	Sydney	1st	15
4	1917	Sydney	6	9	45	Collingwood	8	18	66	Collingwood	2nd	21
8	1917	Collingwood	11	10	76	Fitzroy	10	14	74	Collingwood	1st	2
12	1917	Collingwood	3	8	26	Carlton	4	13	37	Carlton	2nd	11
14	1917	Collingwood	6	16	52	Sydney	2	9	21	Collingwood	1st	31
3	1918	Collingwood	9	13	67	Sydney	12	13	85	Sydney	2nd	18
10	1918	Sydney	7	9	51	Collingwood	6	8	44	Sydney	1st	7
8	1919	Carlton	6	8	44	Sydney	6	13	49	Sydney	2nd	5
10	1920	Richmond	8	12	60	Fitzroy	12	6	78	Fitzroy	2nd	18
9	1921	Collingwood	10	4	64	Carlton	12	16	88	Carlton	2nd	24
4	1922	Essendon	7	9	51	Fitzroy	6	15	51	draw	draw	0
6	1922	Essendon	12	21	93	Melbourne	5	12	42	Essendon	1st	51
18	1922	Collingwood	6	11	47	Essendon	6	7	43	Collingwood	1st	4
14	1923	Essendon	8	9	57	Fitzroy	10	18	78	Fitzroy	2nd	21
11	1925	Geelong	11	10	76	Essendon	9	11	65	Geelong	1st	11
15	1925	Geelong	11	8	74	Collingwood	8	17	65	Geelong	1st	9
10	1926	Geelong	8	19	67	Melbourne	8	5	53	Geelong	1st	14
15	1926	Collingwood	13	15	93	Melbourne	6	7	43	Collingwood	1st	50
16	1926	Collingwood	8	16	64	Geelong	14	13	97	Geelong	2nd	33
11	1927	Collingwood	11	13	79	Melbourne	10	12	72	Collingwood	1st	7
12	1927	Collingwood	9	11	65	Geelong	7	7	49	Collingwood	1st	16
14	1927	Collingwood	12	12	84	Richmond	9	7	61	Collingwood	1st	23
2	1928	Richmond	10	6	66	Carlton	13	9	87	Carlton	2nd	21
9	1928	Melbourne	11	14	80	Collingwood	13	14	92	Collingwood	2nd	12
4	1929	Collingwood	12	13	85	Geelong	6	13	49	Collingwood	1st	36
10	1929	Collingwood	15	15	105	Carlton	11	10	76	Collingwood	1st	29
10	1930	Carlton	16	20	116	Collingwood	16	16	112	Carlton	1st	4
17	1930	Carlton	12	11	83	Collingwood	16	10	106	Collingwood	2nd	23
4	1931	Richmond	10	12	72	Collingwood	9	14	68	Richmond	1st	4
18	1931	Richmond	8	8	56	Geelong	11	17	83	Geelong	2nd	27
7	1932	Sydney	14	21	105	Geelong	14	12	96	Sydney	1st	9
8	1932	Sydney	8	9	57	Richmond	8	7	55	Sydney	1st	2
13	1932	Sydney	11	14	80	Carlton	12	17	89	Carlton	2nd	9
6	1933	Geelong	10	11	71	Richmond	13	10	88	Richmond	2nd	17
17	1933	Richmond	14	10	94	Geelong	10	10	70	Richmond	1st	24
6	1934	Sydney	9	10	64	Richmond	16	12	108	Richmond	2nd	44
10	1934	Collingwood	13	17	95	Carlton	10	5	65	Collingwood	1st	30
12	1935	Sydney	18	16	124	Collingwood	10	11	71	Sydney	1st	53
15	1935	Sydney	12	9	81	Carlton	16	26	122	Carlton	2nd	41
10	1936	Collingwood	12	19	91	Sydney	14	18	102	Sydney	2nd	11
5	1937	Melbourne	13	23	101	Collingwood	11	10	76	Melbourne	1st	25
5	1938	Carlton	19	16	130	Collingwood	17	12	114	Carlton	1st	16
8	1938	Carlton	15	20	110	W Bulldogs	12	11	83	Carlton	1st	27
14	1939	St Kilda	10	18	78	Melbourne	15	12	102	Melbourne	2nd	24
2	1941	W Bulldogs	16	17	113	Fitzroy	10	15	75	W Bulldogs	1st	38
18	1941	Melbourne	11	22	88	Carlton	16	17	113	Carlton	2nd	25
6	1942	Richmond	11	10	76	Essendon	10	17	77	Essendon	2nd	1
6	1943	W Bulldogs	11	7	73	Fitzroy	16	11	107	Fitzroy	2nd	34
11	1943	Essendon	9	24	78	Fitzroy	7	13	55	Essendon	1st	23
13	1943	Essendon	11	24	90	Fitzroy	8	8	56	Essendon	1st	34
2	1945	Essendon	9	10	64	Fitzroy	8	16	64	draw	draw	0
3	1946	Collingwood	12	12	84	N Melbourne	10	14	74	Collingwood	1st	10
12	1946	W Bulldogs	14	8	92	Essendon	16	24	120	Essendon	2nd	28
2	1947	Essendon	13	11	89	W Bulldogs	15	13	103	W Bulldogs	2nd	14
16	1947	Carlton	7	12	54	Essendon	13	16	94	Essendon	2nd	40
10	1948	Fitzroy	13	7	85	Collingwood	15	12	102	Collingwood	2nd	17
14	1948	Collingwood	12	13	85	Essendon	16	11	107	Essendon	2nd	22
9	1949	Carlton	14	15	99	Richmond	12	12	84	Carlton	1st	15
16	1949	Collingwood	7	16	58	Carlton	7	13	55	Collingwood	1st	3
7	1950	Essendon	19	13	127	St Kilda	9	9	63	Essendon	1st	64
10	1950	Essendon	10	12	72	Melbourne	8	15	63	Essendon	1st	9
17	1950	Essendon	15	12	102	N Melbourne	13	16	94	Essendon	1st	8
13	1951	Geelong	11	10	76	Fitzroy	4	5	29	Geelong	1st	47
14	1951	Geelong	3	11	29	Collingwood	4	7	31	Collingwood	2nd	2
12	1952	Collingwood	4	9	33	Geelong	9	8	62	Geelong	2nd	29
13	1953	Geelong	11	12	78	W Bulldogs	8	10	58	Geelong	1st	20
15	1953	Geelong	7	8	50	Essendon	8	13	61	Essendon	2nd	11
11	1954	W Bulldogs	10	12	72	Collingwood	12	10	82	Collingwood	2nd	10
3	1955	Melbourne	6	22	58	W Bulldogs	6	10	46	Melbourne	1st	12
11	1955	Melbourne	5	15	45	Collingwood	7	6	48	Collingwood	2nd	3
13	1955	Melbourne	6	16	52	Geelong	10	11	71	Geelong	2nd	19
5	1956	Geelong	6	12	48	Melbourne	6	20	56	Melbourne	2nd	8
16	1956	Melbourne	8	8	56	Geelong	8	10	58	Geelong	2nd	2
18	1956	Melbourne	10	13	73	Collingwood	9	6	60	Melbourne	1st	13
10	1958	Melbourne	12	12	84	Collingwood	10	13	73	Melbourne	1st	11
11	1959	Melbourne	20	8	128	N Melbourne	6	10	46	Melbourne	1st	82
16	1959	Carlton	7	5	47	Melbourne	13	14	92	Melbourne	2nd	45
7	1960	Melbourne	10	11	71	Essendon	9	15	69	Melbourne	1st	2
13	1961	Melbourne	5	10	40	Hawthorn	8	10	58	Hawthorn	2nd	18
10	1962	Essendon	10	13	73	Melbourne	7	13	55	Essendon	1st	18
16	1962	Essendon	10	11	71	Carlton	9	8	62	Essendon	1st	9
12	1963	Essendon	11	17	83	Hawthorn	7	10	52	Essendon	1st	31
12	1964	Geelong	7	12	54	Melbourne	10	15	75	Melbourne	2nd	21
10	1966	St Kilda	6	9	45	Collingwood	17	15	117	Collingwood	2nd	72
15	1966	Richmond	13	8	86	Collingwood	16	9	105	Collingwood	2nd	19
9	1967	Carlton	14	7	91	Richmond	13	15	93	Richmond	2nd	2
8	1968	St Kilda	16	17	113	Essendon	8	9	57	St Kilda	1st	56
9	1968	St Kilda	11	9	75	Geelong	15	9	99	Geelong	2nd	24
14	1968	Carlton	6	13	49	Essendon	7	13	55	Essendon	2nd	6
8	1969	Hawthorn	13	16	94	Geelong	13	12	90	Hawthorn	1st	4
15	1969	Carlton	17	14	116	Collingwood	15	16	106	Carlton	1st	10
11	1970	Collingwood	16	14	110	Sydney	16	15	111	Sydney	2nd	1
19	1970	Collingwood	13	23	101	Carlton	2	12	24	Collingwood	1st	77
11	1971	Hawthorn	14	10	94	Melbourne	10	14	74	Hawthorn	1st	20
21	1971	Hawthorn	20	20	140	Collingwood	15	15	105	Hawthorn	1st	35
7	1973	Collingwood	8	12	60	Carlton	16	23	119	Carlton	2nd	59
20	1973	Collingwood	8	11	59	Richmond	14	16	100	Richmond	2nd	41
19	1974	Richmond	16	11	107	Collingwood	10	20	80	Richmond	1st	27
4	1975	Carlton	12	15	87	Essendon	16	8	104	Essendon	2nd	17
6	1975	Hawthorn	12	13	85	Carlton	16	15	111	Carlton	2nd	26
17	1975	Hawthorn	15	15	105	Carlton	15	11	101	Hawthorn	1st	4
6	1976	Carlton	15	12	102	Hawthorn	7	20	62	Carlton	1st	40
11	1976	Hawthorn	11	22	88	Geelong	11	10	76	Hawthorn	1st	12
17	1976	Hawthorn	11	19	85	Carlton	17	14	116	Carlton	2nd	31
9	1977	Collingwood	22	10	142	Hawthorn	16	12	108	Collingwood	1st	34
20	1977	Collingwood	13	21	99	Hawthorn	15	15	105	Hawthorn	2nd	6
4	1978	N Melbourne	17	17	119	St Kilda	14	16	100	N Melbourne	1st	19
15	1978	Hawthorn	10	14	74	N Melbourne	7	13	55	Hawthorn	1st	19
7	1979	Carlton	15	14	104	N Melbourne	16	12	108	N Melbourne	2nd	4
14	1979	Carlton	17	14	116	Fitzroy	9	11	65	Carlton	1st	51
15	1979	Carlton	18	18	126	Essendon	12	11	83	Carlton	1st	43
18	1979	Carlton	21	15	141	N Melbourne	18	11	119	Carlton	1st	22
10	1980	Richmond	15	15	105	N Melbourne	13	20	98	Richmond	1st	7
17	1980	Richmond	13	15	93	Geelong	16	14	110	Geelong	2nd	17
6	1981	Carlton	12	15	87	Collingwood	22	12	144	Collingwood	2nd	57
16	1981	Collingwood	11	11	77	Carlton	10	16	76	Collingwood	1st	1
3	1982	Essendon	16	14	110	Richmond	25	22	172	Richmond	2nd	62
5	1982	Richmond	10	22	82	Hawthorn	13	22	100	Hawthorn	2nd	18
10	1982	Richmond	16	11	107	Carlton	18	16	124	Carlton	2nd	17
7	1983	Fitzroy	11	10	76	Geelong	9	13	67	Fitzroy	1st	9
14	1983	Fitzroy	9	11	65	Essendon	8	10	58	Fitzroy	1st	7
17	1983	N Melbourne	12	18	90	Hawthorn	15	7	97	Hawthorn	2nd	7
12	1984	Essendon	6	10	46	Hawthorn	12	21	93	Hawthorn	2nd	47
5	1985	Essendon	11	18	84	W Bulldogs	18	17	125	W Bulldogs	2nd	41
16	1985	Essendon	17	10	112	W Bulldogs	13	10	88	Essendon	1st	24
7	1986	Sydney	15	10	100	Hawthorn	18	25	133	Hawthorn	2nd	33
19	1986	Hawthorn	27	9	171	Sydney	10	13	73	Hawthorn	1st	98
6	1987	Carlton	12	15	87	Sydney	13	16	94	Sydney	2nd	7
14	1987	Carlton	12	7	79	Hawthorn	12	8	80	Hawthorn	2nd	1
19	1987	Sydney	8	7	55	Carlton	17	21	123	Carlton	2nd	68
5	1988	Carlton	10	9	69	Collingwood	14	13	97	Collingwood	2nd	28
17	1988	Hawthorn	21	11	137	Melbourne	10	8	68	Hawthorn	1st	69
2	1990	Hawthorn	14	13	97	Essendon	24	15	159	Essendon	2nd	62
7	1990	West Coast	9	7	61	Melbourne	18	8	116	Melbourne	2nd	55
19	1990	Essendon	13	6	84	Collingwood	11	12	78	Essendon	1st	6
6	1991	West Coast	19	20	134	Geelong	13	11	89	West Coast	1st	45
8	1991	West Coast	14	10	94	Essendon	13	9	87	West Coast	1st	7
21	1991	West Coast	11	16	82	Geelong	12	9	81	West Coast	1st	1
22	1991	West Coast	15	9	99	Hawthorn	11	9	75	West Coast	1st	24
15	1992	Geelong	14	18	102	W Bulldogs	14	9	93	Geelong	1st	9
10	1993	N Melbourne	19	12	126	Collingwood	5	13	43	N Melbourne	1st	83
12	1993	N Melbourne	16	11	107	West Coast	15	11	101	N Melbourne	1st	6
13	1993	N Melbourne	11	14	80	Hawthorn	12	11	83	Hawthorn	2nd	3
11	1994	West Coast	18	10	118	Melbourne	11	8	74	West Coast	1st	44
22	1994	West Coast	8	14	62	Carlton	19	12	126	Carlton	2nd	64
14	1995	Carlton	17	13	115	Richmond	12	13	85	Carlton	1st	30
22	1995	Carlton	16	12	108	Essendon	9	13	67	Carlton	1st	41
5	1996	Adelaide	17	11	113	N Melbourne	23	14	152	N Melbourne	2nd	39
14	1996	N Melbourne	21	18	144	Carlton	13	11	89	N Melbourne	1st	55
11	1997	Geelong	11	9	75	W Bulldogs	14	12	96	W Bulldogs	2nd	21
5	1998	W Bulldogs	12	11	83	Sydney	14	15	99	Sydney	2nd	16
14	1998	W Bulldogs	10	12	72	St Kilda	12	15	87	St Kilda	2nd	15
22	1998	N Melbourne	17	11	113	W Bulldogs	16	12	108	N Melbourne	1st	5
17	1999	Essendon	24	14	158	N Melbourne	20	12	132	Essendon	1st	26
20	2000	Essendon	16	13	109	Carlton	12	11	83	Essendon	1st	26
9	2001	Hawthorn	8	9	57	Essendon	18	14	122	Essendon	2nd	65
3	2002	Brisbane	17	15	117	Essendon	9	13	67	Brisbane	1st	50
7	2002	Brisbane	19	15	129	Pt Adelaide	11	6	72	Brisbane	1st	57
8	2002	Brisbane	16	15	111	Collingwood	17	12	114	Collingwood	2nd	3
22	2002	Brisbane	13	6	84	Pt Adelaide	13	12	90	Pt Adelaide	2nd	6
3	2003	Brisbane	16	13	109	N Melbourne	16	13	109	draw	draw	0
4	2003	Collingwood	11	15	81	Brisbane	14	11	95	Brisbane	2nd	14
16	2003	Pt Adelaide	17	12	114	West Coast	7	8	50	Pt Adelaide	1st	64
13	2005	West Coast	15	15	105	Melbourne	13	12	90	West Coast	1st	15
22	2005	West Coast	10	14	74	Adelaide	12	10	82	Adelaide	2nd	8
17	2006	Adelaide	12	11	83	West Coast	26	9	165	West Coast	2nd	82
2	2007	Brisbane	15	12	102	St Kilda	7	8	50	Brisbane	1st	52
20	2007	Geelong	15	11	101	Pt Adelaide	16	10	106	Pt Adelaide	2nd	5
16	2008	Geelong	19	17	131	W Bulldogs	10	10	70	Geelong	1st	61
14	2009	St Kilda	14	7	91	Geelong	13	7	85	St Kilda	1st	6
4	2010	St Kilda	16	12	108	Fremantle	14	9	93	St Kilda	1st	15
8	2010	Collingwood	20	13	133	Fremantle	15	7	97	Collingwood	1st	36
9	2010	Collingwood	6	14	50	Geelong	12	14	86	Geelong	2nd	36
13	2010	Geelong	6	10	46	St Kilda	10	10	70	St Kilda	2nd	24
19	2010	Collingwood	14	23	107	Geelong	12	13	85	Collingwood	1st	22
8	2011	Geelong	8	17	65	Collingwood	9	8	62	Geelong	1st	3
24	2011	Collingwood	8	5	53	Geelong	22	17	149	Geelong	2nd	96
16	2012	Sydney	18	13	121	West Coast	10	9	69	Sydney	1st	52
22	2012	Sydney	14	11	95	Hawthorn	15	12	102	Hawthorn	2nd	7
7	2013	Essendon	11	19	85	Geelong	17	11	113	Geelong	2nd	28
15	2013	Hawthorn	10	12	72	Geelong	11	16	82	Geelong	2nd	10
18	2013	Hawthorn	22	11	143	Essendon	13	9	87	Hawthorn	1st	56
5	2014	Hawthorn	12	15	87	Geelong	15	16	106	Geelong	2nd	19
6	2014	Geelong	9	13	67	Pt Adelaide	16	11	107	Pt Adelaide	2nd	40
10	2014	Pt Adelaide	15	10	100	Hawthorn	13	8	86	Pt Adelaide	1st	14
20	2015	Fremantle	11	14	80	West Coast	15	14	104	West Coast	2nd	24
6	2016	N Melbourne	9	7	61	W Bulldogs	6	9	45	N Melbourne	1st	16
17	2016	Hawthorn	11	9	75	Sydney	10	10	70	Hawthorn	1st	5
3	2017	Pt Adelaide	12	11	83	Adelaide	15	10	100	Adelaide	2nd	17
18	2017	Adelaide	13	13	91	Geelong	10	10	70	Adelaide	1st	21
9	2018	Richmond	12	11	83	West Coast	20	10	130	West Coast	2nd	47
15	2018	Richmond	14	9	93	Sydney	11	1	67	Richmond	1st	26
22	2019	Geelong	10	14	74	Brisbane	10	15	75	Brisbane	2nd	1
11	2021	W Bulldogs	8	11	59	Melbourne	13	9	87	Melbourne	2nd	28
19	2021	Melbourne				W Bulldogs

We sadly ran out of time to do a full statistical post on this, so that will have to come at the next top of the table clash.

AFLM Predictions – Round 19, 2021

Our recent AFLM predicting form has been fairly spotty, and last week was no exception – only four correct, with our Bits score decreasing for the fourth consecutive week. It could be pinned down to poor modelling, but maybe the players are reaching a sense of fatigue with football – which shares what many fans are thinking, and what Adrian Polykandrites has eloquently blogged about today.

AFLM Predictions – Round 18, 2021

Last week was one of our worst, from a predictive standpoint, of the entire year. We only got three tips right, including none of the last five games (the worst of any 9-game round for 2021); our Bits score of -3.79 was the second worst (only round 13 was lower); and the MAE of 34.78 is the third worst.

AFLM Predictions – Round 17, 2021

Many models across the internet stumbled last week, with a few upset games greatly interfering with accuracy. This reflects by what’s turning into another fairly mediocre showing compared to the rest of the Squiggle models – we’re towards the bottom of the table for both tips and MAE, although our Bits score is looking better.

AFLM Predictions – Round 16, 2021

It’s all come back around – while 2020 was a season with almost no football in Victoria, the ending half of 2021 is turning into a season with all the football here. All eighteen teams are currently based in Victoria, with the plan being for every game this week, bar one (for shambolic reasons, and ones I’m bitter about as a Ballaratian), to be held in either Melbourne or Geelong.

AFLM Predictions – Round 15, 2021

The ending stages of the home and away season are already closing in (it seems so early, especially after 2020’s drawn-out nature), and it seems like we might already have everything sorted. Of course, whenever these declarations are made, we’re quickly shown up by some last-minute unforeseen changes, but the top eight looks largely set and you’d think that three of the top four are settled.

AFLM Predictions – Round 14, 2021

2022 World Cup Qualifiers – AFC Second Round, Matchday 10

Three more teams were able to sew up a qualifying spot through Matchday 9 – Syria, Australia, and South Korea all getting wins that guaranteed them a group-topping position. There’s still a lot to play for, even if (for some teams) the odds are incredibly unlikely – we’ll get to a proper discussion of that later in the post.

2022 World Cup Qualifiers – AFC Second Round, Matchday 9

It’s impressive that only three teams have their spots sewn up in the third round of qualifying, even with just two games left to play (although we’re not sure whether it means that that’s more or less competitive than it should be). Things will be very different after today though, with almost every game giving a team an opportunity to qualify or be eliminated.

AFLM Predictions – Round 13, 2021

Thursday night games aren’t fun at the best of times, especially when they’re in abbreviated weeks that still drag from Thursday to Monday. Hopefully you can forgive us for missing the first quarter of football!