WBBL|06 Predictions – Round 1

(The high-profile portion of) cricket is wasting no time with cracking into action – within twelve hours of the AFLM Grand Final finishing, the sixth season of the Women’s Big Bash League is teeing off in Sydney – where the whole tournament will be held, thanks to a certain global pandemic. There’s a lot to watch out for this season, and many questions that we’re soon to be held – and our Elo ratings (and a few other statistical projects) will be included the whole way.

Continue reading “WBBL|06 Predictions – Round 1”

AFLW Predictions – Round 1, 2020

As part of the AFL’s quest for cultural dominance, and a general belief that this is just a curtainraiser for the ‘real’ footy, the AFLW season is teeing off tonight, far too early in February. The fans are excited, the media has been giving it enough coverage to make sure people are aware it’s happening, and the finest female footballers in the country are strapping their boots on, ready to give it a shake. As are we with our predictions – and we had a lot to do over the off season.

Continue reading “AFLW Predictions – Round 1, 2020”

Every AFLM Top of the Table Clash Ever

(link for public access)

RYear1stGBT2ndGBTWinnerMargin
31897Fitzroy5939Melbourne7850Melbourne2nd11
71897Melbourne3927Essendon81563Essendon2nd36
91897Essendon61046Collingwood5737Essendon1st9
51898Essendon61248Melbourne3523Essendon1st25
81898Essendon81159Fitzroy2416Essendon1st43
141898Essendon21325Collingwood71456Collingwood2nd31
51899Melbourne41135Fitzroy3624Melbourne1st11
121899Fitzroy6541Melbourne4933Fitzroy1st8
111900Fitzroy5939Sydney4933Fitzroy1st6
131900Fitzroy1612Geelong8957Geelong2nd45
51901Geelong3624Collingwood4832Collingwood2nd8
61901Collingwood71355Fitzroy6945Collingwood1st10
121901Geelong121183Collingwood6541Geelong1st42
171901Geelong5333Essendon91266Essendon2nd33
41902Collingwood3422Fitzroy71355Fitzroy2nd33
81902Fitzroy51242Essendon7648Essendon2nd6
101902Fitzroy6945Collingwood91468Collingwood2nd23
131902Collingwood7547Essendon5636Collingwood1st11
61903Fitzroy4529Carlton9862Carlton2nd33
111903Fitzroy5636Collingwood8856Collingwood2nd20
71904Fitzroy6945Sydney51444Fitzroy1st1
141904Fitzroy81058Sydney51646Fitzroy1st12
21905Sydney11773Melbourne10767Sydney1st6
81905Fitzroy3119Collingwood51141Collingwood2nd22
71906Carlton41539Essendon101474Essendon2nd35
141906Essendon41236Carlton101272Carlton2nd36
31907Essendon5737St Kilda91367St Kilda2nd30
81907St Kilda31533Carlton81462Carlton2nd29
31908Essendon4832Carlton51343Carlton2nd11
121908Carlton4529Essendon6642Essendon2nd13
41909Sydney111076Fitzroy5737Sydney1st39
71909Sydney9963Essendon9862Sydney1st1
111909Sydney6844Carlton91468Carlton2nd24
141909Sydney6743Collingwood8654Collingwood2nd11
71910Carlton61551Essendon71052Essendon2nd1
161910Carlton71052Essendon81260Essendon2nd8
91911Essendon51141Sydney6844Sydney2nd3
181911Essendon9963Sydney81058Essendon1st5
31912Essendon81159Carlton61450Essendon1st9
41912Essendon9862Sydney8856Essendon1st6
131912Sydney91165Essendon71052Sydney1st13
171912Sydney61046Carlton71052Carlton2nd6
41913Collingwood6844Carlton5838Collingwood1st6
81913Collingwood5737Fitzroy61147Fitzroy2nd10
171913Fitzroy91064Collingwood41337Fitzroy1st27
51914Sydney51343Essendon51141Sydney1st2
121914Fitzroy71254Sydney10464Sydney2nd10
81915Collingwood11874Fitzroy61450Collingwood1st24
131915Collingwood122193Melbourne8654Collingwood1st39
41916Fitzroy7951Carlton13684Carlton2nd33
51916Carlton101575Collingwood111076Collingwood2nd1
81916Carlton91165Collingwood71153Carlton1st12
111916Carlton91872Collingwood101070Carlton1st2
31917Sydney51646Carlton31331Sydney1st15
41917Sydney6945Collingwood81866Collingwood2nd21
81917Collingwood111076Fitzroy101474Collingwood1st2
121917Collingwood3826Carlton41337Carlton2nd11
141917Collingwood61652Sydney2921Collingwood1st31
31918Collingwood91367Sydney121385Sydney2nd18
101918Sydney7951Collingwood6844Sydney1st7
81919Carlton6844Sydney61349Sydney2nd5
101920Richmond81260Fitzroy12678Fitzroy2nd18
91921Collingwood10464Carlton121688Carlton2nd24
41922Essendon7951Fitzroy61551drawdraw0
61922Essendon122193Melbourne51242Essendon1st51
181922Collingwood61147Essendon6743Collingwood1st4
141923Essendon8957Fitzroy101878Fitzroy2nd21
111925Geelong111076Essendon91165Geelong1st11
151925Geelong11874Collingwood81765Geelong1st9
101926Geelong81967Melbourne8553Geelong1st14
151926Collingwood131593Melbourne6743Collingwood1st50
161926Collingwood81664Geelong141397Geelong2nd33
111927Collingwood111379Melbourne101272Collingwood1st7
121927Collingwood91165Geelong7749Collingwood1st16
141927Collingwood121284Richmond9761Collingwood1st23
21928Richmond10666Carlton13987Carlton2nd21
91928Melbourne111480Collingwood131492Collingwood2nd12
41929Collingwood121385Geelong61349Collingwood1st36
101929Collingwood1515105Carlton111076Collingwood1st29
101930Carlton1620116Collingwood1616112Carlton1st4
171930Carlton121183Collingwood1610106Collingwood2nd23
41931Richmond101272Collingwood91468Richmond1st4
181931Richmond8856Geelong111783Geelong2nd27
71932Sydney1421105Geelong141296Sydney1st9
81932Sydney8957Richmond8755Sydney1st2
131932Sydney111480Carlton121789Carlton2nd9
61933Geelong101171Richmond131088Richmond2nd17
171933Richmond141094Geelong101070Richmond1st24
61934Sydney91064Richmond1612108Richmond2nd44
101934Collingwood131795Carlton10565Collingwood1st30
121935Sydney1816124Collingwood101171Sydney1st53
151935Sydney12981Carlton1626122Carlton2nd41
101936Collingwood121991Sydney1418102Sydney2nd11
51937Melbourne1323101Collingwood111076Melbourne1st25
51938Carlton1916130Collingwood1712114Carlton1st16
81938Carlton1520110W Bulldogs121183Carlton1st27
141939St Kilda101878Melbourne1512102Melbourne2nd24
21941W Bulldogs1617113Fitzroy101575W Bulldogs1st38
181941Melbourne112288Carlton1617113Carlton2nd25
61942Richmond111076Essendon101777Essendon2nd1
61943W Bulldogs11773Fitzroy1611107Fitzroy2nd34
111943Essendon92478Fitzroy71355Essendon1st23
131943Essendon112490Fitzroy8856Essendon1st34
21945Essendon91064Fitzroy81664drawdraw0
31946Collingwood121284N Melbourne101474Collingwood1st10
121946W Bulldogs14892Essendon1624120Essendon2nd28
21947Essendon131189W Bulldogs1513103W Bulldogs2nd14
161947Carlton71254Essendon131694Essendon2nd40
101948Fitzroy13785Collingwood1512102Collingwood2nd17
141948Collingwood121385Essendon1611107Essendon2nd22
91949Carlton141599Richmond121284Carlton1st15
161949Collingwood71658Carlton71355Collingwood1st3
71950Essendon1913127St Kilda9963Essendon1st64
101950Essendon101272Melbourne81563Essendon1st9
171950Essendon1512102N Melbourne131694Essendon1st8
131951Geelong111076Fitzroy4529Geelong1st47
141951Geelong31129Collingwood4731Collingwood2nd2
121952Collingwood4933Geelong9862Geelong2nd29
131953Geelong111278W Bulldogs81058Geelong1st20
151953Geelong7850Essendon81361Essendon2nd11
111954W Bulldogs101272Collingwood121082Collingwood2nd10
31955Melbourne62258W Bulldogs61046Melbourne1st12
111955Melbourne51545Collingwood7648Collingwood2nd3
131955Melbourne61652Geelong101171Geelong2nd19
51956Geelong61248Melbourne62056Melbourne2nd8
161956Melbourne8856Geelong81058Geelong2nd2
181956Melbourne101373Collingwood9660Melbourne1st13
101958Melbourne121284Collingwood101373Melbourne1st11
111959Melbourne208128N Melbourne61046Melbourne1st82
161959Carlton7547Melbourne131492Melbourne2nd45
71960Melbourne101171Essendon91569Melbourne1st2
131961Melbourne51040Hawthorn81058Hawthorn2nd18
101962Essendon101373Melbourne71355Essendon1st18
161962Essendon101171Carlton9862Essendon1st9
121963Essendon111783Hawthorn71052Essendon1st31
121964Geelong71254Melbourne101575Melbourne2nd21
101966St Kilda6945Collingwood1715117Collingwood2nd72
151966Richmond13886Collingwood169105Collingwood2nd19
91967Carlton14791Richmond131593Richmond2nd2
81968St Kilda1617113Essendon8957St Kilda1st56
91968St Kilda11975Geelong15999Geelong2nd24
141968Carlton61349Essendon71355Essendon2nd6
81969Hawthorn131694Geelong131290Hawthorn1st4
151969Carlton1714116Collingwood1516106Carlton1st10
111970Collingwood1614110Sydney1615111Sydney2nd1
191970Collingwood1323101Carlton21224Collingwood1st77
111971Hawthorn141094Melbourne101474Hawthorn1st20
211971Hawthorn2020140Collingwood1515105Hawthorn1st35
71973Collingwood81260Carlton1623119Carlton2nd59
201973Collingwood81159Richmond1416100Richmond2nd41
191974Richmond1611107Collingwood102080Richmond1st27
41975Carlton121587Essendon168104Essendon2nd17
61975Hawthorn121385Carlton1615111Carlton2nd26
171975Hawthorn1515105Carlton1511101Hawthorn1st4
61976Carlton1512102Hawthorn72062Carlton1st40
111976Hawthorn112288Geelong111076Hawthorn1st12
171976Hawthorn111985Carlton1714116Carlton2nd31
91977Collingwood2210142Hawthorn1612108Collingwood1st34
201977Collingwood132199Hawthorn1515105Hawthorn2nd6
41978N Melbourne1717119St Kilda1416100N Melbourne1st19
151978Hawthorn101474N Melbourne71355Hawthorn1st19
71979Carlton1514104N Melbourne1612108N Melbourne2nd4
141979Carlton1714116Fitzroy91165Carlton1st51
151979Carlton1818126Essendon121183Carlton1st43
181979Carlton2115141N Melbourne1811119Carlton1st22
101980Richmond1515105N Melbourne132098Richmond1st7
171980Richmond131593Geelong1614110Geelong2nd17
61981Carlton121587Collingwood2212144Collingwood2nd57
161981Collingwood111177Carlton101676Collingwood1st1
31982Essendon1614110Richmond2522172Richmond2nd62
51982Richmond102282Hawthorn1322100Hawthorn2nd18
101982Richmond1611107Carlton1816124Carlton2nd17
71983Fitzroy111076Geelong91367Fitzroy1st9
141983Fitzroy91165Essendon81058Fitzroy1st7
171983N Melbourne121890Hawthorn15797Hawthorn2nd7
121984Essendon61046Hawthorn122193Hawthorn2nd47
51985Essendon111884W Bulldogs1817125W Bulldogs2nd41
161985Essendon1710112W Bulldogs131088Essendon1st24
71986Sydney1510100Hawthorn1825133Hawthorn2nd33
191986Hawthorn279171Sydney101373Hawthorn1st98
61987Carlton121587Sydney131694Sydney2nd7
141987Carlton12779Hawthorn12880Hawthorn2nd1
191987Sydney8755Carlton1721123Carlton2nd68
51988Carlton10969Collingwood141397Collingwood2nd28
171988Hawthorn2111137Melbourne10868Hawthorn1st69
21990Hawthorn141397Essendon2415159Essendon2nd62
71990West Coast9761Melbourne188116Melbourne2nd55
191990Essendon13684Collingwood111278Essendon1st6
61991West Coast1920134Geelong131189West Coast1st45
81991West Coast141094Essendon13987West Coast1st7
211991West Coast111682Geelong12981West Coast1st1
221991West Coast15999Hawthorn11975West Coast1st24
151992Geelong1418102W Bulldogs14993Geelong1st9
101993N Melbourne1912126Collingwood51343N Melbourne1st83
121993N Melbourne1611107West Coast1511101N Melbourne1st6
131993N Melbourne111480Hawthorn121183Hawthorn2nd3
111994West Coast1810118Melbourne11874West Coast1st44
221994West Coast81462Carlton1912126Carlton2nd64
141995Carlton1713115Richmond121385Carlton1st30
221995Carlton1612108Essendon91367Carlton1st41
51996Adelaide1711113N Melbourne2314152N Melbourne2nd39
141996N Melbourne2118144Carlton131189N Melbourne1st55
111997Geelong11975W Bulldogs141296W Bulldogs2nd21
51998W Bulldogs121183Sydney141599Sydney2nd16
141998W Bulldogs101272St Kilda121587St Kilda2nd15
221998N Melbourne1711113W Bulldogs1612108N Melbourne1st5
171999Essendon2414158N Melbourne2012132Essendon1st26
202000Essendon1613109Carlton121183Essendon1st26
92001Hawthorn8957Essendon1814122Essendon2nd65
32002Brisbane1715117Essendon91367Brisbane1st50
72002Brisbane1915129Pt Adelaide11672Brisbane1st57
82002Brisbane1615111Collingwood1712114Collingwood2nd3
222002Brisbane13684Pt Adelaide131290Pt Adelaide2nd6
32003Brisbane1613109N Melbourne1613109drawdraw0
42003Collingwood111581Brisbane141195Brisbane2nd14
162003Pt Adelaide1712114West Coast7850Pt Adelaide1st64
132005West Coast1515105Melbourne131290West Coast1st15
222005West Coast101474Adelaide121082Adelaide2nd8
172006Adelaide121183West Coast269165West Coast2nd82
22007Brisbane1512102St Kilda7850Brisbane1st52
202007Geelong1511101Pt Adelaide1610106Pt Adelaide2nd5
162008Geelong1917131W Bulldogs101070Geelong1st61
142009St Kilda14791Geelong13785St Kilda1st6
42010St Kilda1612108Fremantle14993St Kilda1st15
82010Collingwood2013133Fremantle15797Collingwood1st36
92010Collingwood61450Geelong121486Geelong2nd36
132010Geelong61046St Kilda101070St Kilda2nd24
192010Collingwood1423107Geelong121385Collingwood1st22
82011Geelong81765Collingwood9862Geelong1st3
242011Collingwood8553Geelong2217149Geelong2nd96
162012Sydney1813121West Coast10969Sydney1st52
222012Sydney141195Hawthorn1512102Hawthorn2nd7
72013Essendon111985Geelong1711113Geelong2nd28
152013Hawthorn101272Geelong111682Geelong2nd10
182013Hawthorn2211143Essendon13987Hawthorn1st56
52014Hawthorn121587Geelong1516106Geelong2nd19
62014Geelong91367Pt Adelaide1611107Pt Adelaide2nd40
102014Pt Adelaide1510100Hawthorn13886Pt Adelaide1st14
202015Fremantle111480West Coast1514104West Coast2nd24
62016N Melbourne9761W Bulldogs6945N Melbourne1st16
172016Hawthorn11975Sydney101070Hawthorn1st5
32017Pt Adelaide121183Adelaide1510100Adelaide2nd17
182017Adelaide131391Geelong101070Adelaide1st21
92018Richmond121183West Coast2010130West Coast2nd47
152018Richmond14993Sydney11167Richmond1st26
222019Geelong101474Brisbane101575Brisbane2nd1
112021W Bulldogs81159Melbourne13987Melbourne2nd28
192021MelbourneW Bulldogs
We sadly ran out of time to do a full statistical post on this, so that will have to come at the next top of the table clash.

AFLM Predictions – Round 19, 2021

Our recent AFLM predicting form has been fairly spotty, and last week was no exception – only four correct, with our Bits score decreasing for the fourth consecutive week. It could be pinned down to poor modelling, but maybe the players are reaching a sense of fatigue with football – which shares what many fans are thinking, and what Adrian Polykandrites has eloquently blogged about today.

Continue reading “AFLM Predictions – Round 19, 2021”

AFLM Predictions – Round 16, 2021

It’s all come back around – while 2020 was a season with almost no football in Victoria, the ending half of 2021 is turning into a season with all the football here. All eighteen teams are currently based in Victoria, with the plan being for every game this week, bar one (for shambolic reasons, and ones I’m bitter about as a Ballaratian), to be held in either Melbourne or Geelong.

Continue reading “AFLM Predictions – Round 16, 2021”

AFLM Predictions – Round 15, 2021

The ending stages of the home and away season are already closing in (it seems so early, especially after 2020’s drawn-out nature), and it seems like we might already have everything sorted. Of course, whenever these declarations are made, we’re quickly shown up by some last-minute unforeseen changes, but the top eight looks largely set and you’d think that three of the top four are settled.

Continue reading “AFLM Predictions – Round 15, 2021”

2022 World Cup Qualifiers – AFC Second Round, Matchday 10

Three more teams were able to sew up a qualifying spot through Matchday 9 – Syria, Australia, and South Korea all getting wins that guaranteed them a group-topping position. There’s still a lot to play for, even if (for some teams) the odds are incredibly unlikely – we’ll get to a proper discussion of that later in the post.

Continue reading “2022 World Cup Qualifiers – AFC Second Round, Matchday 10”

2022 World Cup Qualifiers – AFC Second Round, Matchday 9

It’s impressive that only three teams have their spots sewn up in the third round of qualifying, even with just two games left to play (although we’re not sure whether it means that that’s more or less competitive than it should be). Things will be very different after today though, with almost every game giving a team an opportunity to qualify or be eliminated.

Continue reading “2022 World Cup Qualifiers – AFC Second Round, Matchday 9”