Margin Tipping
My extremely unprofessional tip of West Coast paid off, meaning that I was able to get one back on the system in what was a pretty poor week for the both of us. I got five right; the system got one less to score four – although the MAE for the year still improved. Compared to the systems on Squiggle, we’re running around the bottom in both tips and MAE.
There’s a few big margins tipped by the system, and only one difference. For reasons unknown, I’ve decided to tip Fremantle,1 while the system backs conventional wisdom and goes for Essendon.
There’s a few changes to the predicted ladder. Melbourne jumps from eighth to sixth, meaning Geelong and Hawthorn are one down. Sydney and Port Adelaide also swap places, meaning the Power miss out on a double chance by 1.4%. And Richmond are now only percentage ahead of West Coast – although the final result still doesn’t change.
Unique Scores
Gold Coast were one off scoring 50 for the first time; if GWS had scored one less goal they’d have their first 73; and Port Adelaide were one short of their first 51. But with all those close calls, there were no unique scores for the year.
Behind-Scoring Leaderboards
Most behinds for the season
In addition to his 900th career goal, Lance Franklin scored his 25th behind for the year to keep himself two clear of Jack Ziebell. Castagna also jumped into the top five.
| # | Player | Team | Behinds | Goals | Games |
| 1 | Lance Franklin | Sydney | 25 | 42 | 13 |
| 2 | Jack Ziebell | N Melbourne | 23 | 24 | 16 |
| 3 | Tom Hawkins | Geelong | 21 | 34 | 14 |
| 4 | Jason Castagna | Richmond | 20 | 19 | 14 |
| Tim Membrey | St Kilda | 20 | 25 | 14 |
Most behinds without a goal for the season
Taylor Duryea kicked his first goal for the year, kicking himself out of contention for this leaderboard, so Sebastian Ross has now returned to the top of the table.
| # | Player | Team | Behinds | Games |
| 1 | Sebastian Ross | St Kilda | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Ryan Burton | Hawthorn | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Cameron Polson | Carlton | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Levi Greenwood | N Melbourne | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Dom Barry | Pt Adelaide | 3 | 5 |
Most behinds in a game (and most without a goal)
We’ve got a brand new leader for the goalless table, Richmond’s Jason Castagna! Out of Richmond’s 10.17 tally against GWS, Castagna kicked 0.5 – both the most behinds he’s ever kicked in a game and the most without a goal anyone’s scored this year.
| # | Player | Team | Behinds | Goals | Round |
| 1 | Eddie Betts | Adelaide | 6 | 2 | R12 v Fremantle |
| 2 | Jason Castagna | Richmond | 5 | 0 | R17 v GWS Giants |
| 3 | Tim Membrey | St Kilda | 5 | 1 | R8 v Fremantle |
| Jamie Cripps | West Coast | 5 | 1 | R8 v GWS Giants | |
| 5 | Lance Franklin | Sydney | 5 | 2 | R13 v West Coast |
| Tom Hawkins | Geelong | 5 | 2 | R16 v Sydney |
| # | Player | Team | Behinds | Round |
| 1 | Jason Castagna | Richmond | 5 | R17 v GWS Giants |
| 2 | Sam Powell-Pepper | Pt Adelaide | 4 | R1 v Fremantle |
| Josh Dunkley | W Bulldogs | 4 | R4 v Sydney | |
| Tomas Bugg | Melbourne | 4 | R4 v Hawthorn | |
| Jack Ziebell | N Melbourne | 4 | R7 v Sydney | |
| Dustin Martin | Richmond | 4 | R7 v Fremantle |
Individual player updates
- Aliir Aliir (Sydney) scored his first goal, disqualifying him.2
- Joel Hamling (Fremantle) played his 60th game (career tally 0.0).
- Jake Long (Essendon) scored his first goal, disqualifying him.
- Bailey Rice (St Kilda) scored a behind, bringing his career tally to 0.1 (7 games).
1It’s a baseless hunch.
2I’m sure he doesn’t mind though.
The Flag 